Huaxi Securities: In 2025, the rate of RRR cut and interest rate cut may not be lower than 50bp and 20bp. Huaxi Securities Research Report pointed out that this Politburo meeting revisited "moderately loose monetary policy", and the market inevitably associated with the magnificent combination of monetary and fiscal policies in 2008-2010. Specific to this round of monetary policy, it may be similar to it, not only the tone has changed, but also the framework has changed from the previous cross-cycle (or both cross-cycle and counter-cycle) to counter-cycle adjustment, which is likely to point to an increase in the adjustment range of reserve ratio and policy interest rate. Looking forward to 2025, the rate of single RRR cut and interest rate cut of monetary policy may not be lower than 50bp and 20bp (the rate in 2024), and the possibility of further increasing the rate in the face of extreme circumstances is not ruled out. The specific degree and duration of easing may depend on the economic situation.New quality productivity is still the core of policy orientation! Kechuang 100TF (588190) closed up 1.71%. On December 10th, Kechuang 100TF (588190) closed up 1.71%, with a turnover of 667 million yuan. The constituent stocks rose strongly, with Guo Dun Quantum up 6.19%, Siwei up 4.18%, and Hengxuan Technology, Ruichuang Micro-nano and Alice followed suit. Huajin Securities said that developing new quality productivity is still the main policy orientation. The meeting clearly put forward that "scientific and technological innovation should lead the development of new quality productivity", showing that the emerging industries related to the eight new quality productivity are still the main direction of the policy. From a short-term perspective, positive policies are expected to drive A-shares to start the New Year's market. First, from the molecular perspective, the meeting may raise the market's expectation of economic recovery: the meeting can expect to adjust fiscal and monetary easing next year and further economic recovery. In terms of liquidity, further easing of monetary policy is expected to rise.The yen fell to its lowest level against the US dollar since November 29th, at 151.55.
Four films have been scheduled for the Spring Festival. On December 10th, the official announcement of "Nezha's Devil Boy Roars the Sea" was released. According to the release calendar of Cat's Eye Professional Edition, up to now, there are four films scheduled for the Spring Festival in 2025, namely: Nezha's Devil Boy Roars the Sea, The Legend of the Condor Heroes: The Great Man, Feng Shen Part II: War in the West, Bears Appear and Restart the Future.Guangdong: Build and improve the integrated motor vehicle emission monitoring system of "heaven, earth and drivers". By the end of 2025, the coverage rate of remote sensing monitoring of diesel vehicles will reach over 60%. The Guangdong Provincial People's Government issued an action plan for continuous improvement of air quality in Guangdong Province to strictly control motor vehicle emissions. Strengthen the supervision and inspection of the environmental protection standards and information disclosure of new cars, and realize the full coverage of new production trucks. During the periodic inspection of motor vehicle emissions, the evaporative emission control of gasoline vehicles is tested. Strengthen the supervision of motor vehicle emission inspection agencies, and actively explore technologies such as raw data storage and data encryption transmission to prevent motor vehicle emission inspection agencies from cheating. We will build and improve the integrated motor vehicle emission monitoring system of "heaven, earth and drivers", and the coverage rate of remote sensing monitoring of diesel vehicles will reach over 60% by the end of 2025. Strengthen the home inspection of major car users whose remote sensing monitoring rate exceeds 10%, and severely crack down on illegal activities such as dismantling exhaust aftertreatment devices and destroying and tampering with on-board diagnostic systems (OBD). Organize the remote sensing monitoring, supervision and inspection of motor vehicle emissions, strictly implement the system of motor vehicle emission inspection and compulsory maintenance, strengthen the joint supervision and law enforcement of motor vehicles that exceed the standard, and basically eliminate the phenomenon of "black smoke" from motor vehicles.Chenglian Branch: In November, the retail sales of domestic narrow passenger car market reached 2.424 million, up 16.6% year-on-year. On December 10th, according to the latest retail sales statistics of china automobile dealers association Passenger Car Market Information Branch, the retail sales of domestic narrow passenger car market reached 2.424 million in November, up 16.6% year-on-year and 7.2% quarter-on-quarter. From January to November, the cumulative sales volume was 20.258 million vehicles, a year-on-year increase of 4.7%.
China's SME development index rose for the second consecutive month, which was released today (10th) by China Small and Medium Enterprises Association. In November, China's SME development index was 89.2, up 0.2 point from October and rising for two consecutive months. China Small and Medium Enterprises Association believes that the main driving force for the continuous rise of the index is that a series of stock support policies continue to exert their strength. At the same time, since September, a package of incremental policies has begun to take effect, and various positive factors have accumulated, which has led to the improvement of the prosperity level of small and medium-sized enterprises. Ma Bin, executive vice president of China Small and Medium Enterprises Association, said that in November, the comprehensive operation index and benefit index of small and medium-sized enterprises rose by 0.5 points respectively, both the biggest increases this year. At the same time, the long-term high cost index has dropped significantly, which is very rare. It shows that the improvement of the prosperity level of small and medium-sized enterprises is based on a virtuous circle, and this wave of "two consecutive rises" has a high gold content.The weighted share price index of Taiwan Stock Exchange opened 0.2% lower at 23,228.26.Official website, Beijing Medical Insurance Bureau, reported that recently, Beijing Medical Insurance Bureau issued the Notice on Expanding the Mutual Aid Scope of Employees' Medical Insurance Personal Accounts, which stipulated that the family mutual aid scope of employees' medical insurance personal accounts in this city should be expanded from immediate relatives (spouse, parents, children) to close relatives (spouse, parents, siblings, grandparents, grandchildren, grandchildren). There are two conditions for close relatives to use the personal account of the employees' medical insurance insured in this city: first, the close relatives of the insured should be the basic medical insurance insured in this city; Second, eligible close relatives must file a record. When using the personal account funds of the insured in the designated medical institutions, you should use your personal account first, and then use other people's personal accounts in the order of filing.
Strategy guide
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Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide